USD/CAD(Loonie)
USD/CAD, nicknamed "Loonie" after the bird on the Canadian dollar coin, is heavily correlated with crude oil. Canada is the fourth-largest oil producer globally, and CAD strength tracks oil prices closely.
What is USD/CAD?
USD/CAD pairs the United States Dollar against the Canadian Dollar. The Canadian Dollar is a commodity currency tied tightly to crude oil. When oil prices rise, CAD strengthens and USD/CAD typically falls. When oil collapses, USD/CAD rallies.
The two economies are also deeply integrated: roughly 75% of Canadian exports go to the US, and Bank of Canada policy often shadows the Federal Reserve. The pair tends to have lower realized volatility than other commodity-currency majors as a result.
When to trade USD/CAD
USD/CAD is unique among majors: its prime trading window is the New York session (8 AM to 5 PM ET), not the London-NY overlap. Canadian markets sync with US hours, and most BoC and Canadian-data releases drop during US morning.
Avoid the Asian session (1 to 11 PM ET) โ spreads widen, range is thin, and CAD-specific catalysts are absent. The pair occasionally produces clean breakouts on crude inventory releases (Wednesdays at 10:30 AM ET) that can be traded mechanically.
News events that move USD/CAD
Bank of Canada rate decisions (eight per year) and Canadian CPI are the highest-impact CAD events. Both routinely produce 60 to 100 pip moves. BoC press conferences 45 minutes after rate decisions add the directional bias.
Crude oil inventory data (every Wednesday at 10:30 AM ET) is the wildcard. A surprise draw or build can move USD/CAD 30 to 50 pips, sometimes more during low-liquidity weeks. FOMC and NFP also matter, but typically through their effect on USD broadly, not CAD.
Want the full event calendar? See the economic calendar, and look up unfamiliar terms in the forex glossary.
USD/CAD FAQ
Why is USD/CAD called "Loonie"?
Why is USD/CAD correlated with oil?
When is the best time to trade USD/CAD?
How does crude oil inventory data affect USD/CAD?
What is the typical spread on USD/CAD?
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